Risk/Reward Calculator
Compare your potential loss and gain, see the win rate you need to break even, and check the expectancy of a setup.
Calculation Results
For education only. Not financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss.
The risk/reward ratio compares what you stand to lose with what you stand to gain. Enter your entry, stop-loss, target and expected win rate. The calculator shows the ratio, the win rate needed to break even, and your expectancy per trade.
The formulas
- Risk/reward = |Target − Entry| ÷ |Entry − Stop-loss|
- Break-even win rate = 1 ÷ (1 + Risk/reward)
- Expectancy (in R) = (Win rate × Reward) − (Loss rate × 1)
Here R is one unit of risk. A trade that risks $100 has R = $100.
What break-even looks like
| Risk/reward | Win rate needed to break even |
|---|---|
| 1 : 1 | 50% |
| 1 : 1.5 | 40% |
| 1 : 2 | 33.3% |
| 1 : 3 | 25% |
A higher ratio lets you be wrong more often. It does not guarantee profit, because a distant target may be reached less often.
Worked example
Entry $100, stop-loss $98, target $106. Risk is $2 and reward is $6, so the ratio is 1:3. With a 40% win rate:
Expectancy = (0.40 × 3) − (0.60 × 1) = +0.6 R per trade.
At a $100 risk per trade, that averages $60 per trade over many trades. The word “many” matters: a 10-trade sample can look very different.
Common mistakes
- Using an unrealistic win rate. Base it on tested or journaled results, not hope.
- Setting targets only to improve the ratio. A target the market rarely reaches lowers your real win rate.
- Ignoring costs. Spreads and commissions reduce reward and increase risk.
- Judging one trade. Expectancy describes the average over many trades, not the next one.
FAQ
What is a good risk/reward ratio? There is no single answer. Trend-following strategies often accept lower win rates for higher ratios. Scalping strategies may win often at ratios below 1:1. What matters is that your win rate and ratio together give positive expectancy.
What does the calculator do if my stop and target are on the same side? It shows a warning. That setup is invalid for a single trade.
Where do I get my win rate? From a trade journal or backtest. If you have neither, treat any number you enter as a guess.
Related tools: Position Size Calculator · Profit and Loss Calculator · All trading tools
Educational use only. Not financial advice.